Anticipatory Networks and Superanticipatory Systems

نویسنده

  • Andrzej M.J. Skulimowski
چکیده

We present the theory of anticipatory networks that generalizes an earlier model of consequence anticipation in multicriteria optimization problem solving. We assume that the decision-maker takes into account the anticipated outcomes of future decision problem linked by the causal relations with the present one. So arises a multigraph of decision problems linked causally and by one or more anticipation relations termed here the anticipatory network. Then we will introduce the notion of superanticipatory systems, which are anticipatory systems that contain a future model of at least one more anticipatory system. Finally, we will present an application of anticipatory networks to filter the set of scenarios in a foresight project.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011